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Reform party’s rise could prompt shift towards Proportional Representation in UK politics _ Hieuuk

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House of Lords (Image: Getty)

Another honours list, another blank for Reform.

It is silly, it is spiteful, but it might have huge constitutional implications in the coming years.

Why? Due to something else that has been revealed in the analysis of the most recent mega poll conducted by think tank More in Common.

That poll which had the Tories gaining 100 plus seats by not changing, and Labour losing over 200 by falling off a cliff, also had Reform gaining over 60 seats.

The key here is that under our traditional First Past the Post (FPTP) system, Reform’s votes are worth a fraction of votes for the other main parties.

In the General election, a Labour seat required only 23,622 votes, the Lib Dems 48,000 and the Tories won a seat per 56,000 votes cast.

However the Greens required 486,000 votes to win a seat, and Reform?

Reform, a staggering 823,522 votes to gain a single seat. Practicaly each Labour vote is worth 30 times one for Reform.

This a democratic outrage.

However, once Labour was in power the very idea of making the system fairer is not on the table, why would it be?

The system stacks up so well for them.

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Flattering their success and giving them absolute control over our lives.

Reform has long supported the democratically fairer idea of Proportional Representation (PR), as have the Greens and as have the Lib Dems and it’s not hard to see why.

But, and a big but, research by Electoral Calculus has shown that if Reform keep their upward trajectory, and there is no good reason to think they won’t, a mere 6 point rise in their polling would, under the current First Past the Post system make them the largest party with 200 seats, three more, taking them to where Labour were at the General Election would give them an absolute majority.

With power, and so much to do, Immigration, Net Zero, the Diversity Agenda, support for businesses and families through the tax system, it is not hard to imagine that Farage and his team might let PR slide.

This is where the upper House comes in. Reform would achieve an historic win. Yes, but they would have nobody in the upper House, because neither the Tories nor Labour would allow it.

The defeated legacy parties will now be interested in PR for the first time as they lose under the brutal arithmetic of FPTP – in politics self interest always trumps honour – would have the opportunity to hold Reform’s entire governing program to ransom.

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Every single piece of legislation would be rejected by the uniparty Lords creating a constitutional nightmare.

In such stalemate, Reform might well go to the country again, demanding a confirmation election.

There are huge risks in that – or the legacy parties could strike a deal, give us PR and we allow your program to continue.

This would mean that no party – and particularly not Reform, would ever have an absolute majority again.

An outcome far more beneficial to the politically inertia bound legacy parties than Reform with its radical and increasingly popular agenda.

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